Introduction to Moon Phases

For centuries, the Moon has been a guide for agriculture, navigation, and more recently, for financial markets. In this article, we explore the statistical correlation between lunar cycles and Bitcoin (BTC) price action.

New Moon: Accumulation Phase?

Historically, many astro-trading analysts have observed that periods near the New Moon tend to be characterized by lower volatility and, often, an accumulation phase. It is a time when energy is “low,” and the market prepares for the next directional move.

Full Moon: Volatility Peaks

Conversely, the Full Moon is often associated with emotional peaks and, consequently, higher volatility in high-beta markets like cryptocurrencies. It is not uncommon to see local trend reversals during the days immediately preceding or following the full moon.

Statistical Data

Analyzing the last 10 years of BTC/USDT, an interesting pattern emerges: average performances are slightly higher in the period between the New Moon and the First Quarter, compared to the period between the Full Moon and the Last Quarter.

Conclusion

While astrology should not be the only decision-making tool, ignoring natural cycles can mean missing an important dimension of the collective psychology that moves markets.